Home Daily Commentaries Aussie dollar trades around US$0.67

Aussie dollar trades around US$0.67

Daily Currency Update

The Australian dollar is slightly stronger this morning when valued against the Greenback currently trading at 0.6698 at time of writing. The AUD/USD pair extended its recovery momentum on Friday with a positive risk tone and hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expectations due to strong local data underpinning the Aussie. A consolidating US dollar also helped the pair to rise. On the data front last week an unexpectedly low unemployment rate has seen 10 million Australians have a full-time job for the first time in history, likely scuppering any chance of a pre-Christmas interest rate cut. New data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed the jobless rate last month was unchanged from August at 4.1 per cent, after 64,000 new jobs were created in September. The ABS had originally put the August rate at 4.2 per cent, only to revise it down 0.1 per cent.  The figures are slightly better than market forecasts, with economists generally expecting it to stay at 4.2 per cent or rise to 4.3. According to the data, about 10.03 million Australians have full-time work – the first time the 10 million milestone has ever been passed. Looking ahead this week and on Thursday we will see the release of the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI). A survey of about 400 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will also release an Annual Report.

Key Movers

US housing and construction figures came in moderately mixed on Friday, further entrenching investors in a buying mood and further crushing any fears of an economic slowdown right around the corner. The US “soft landing” scenario appears to have been fully averted with growth and activity metrics easily beating expectations. Gold prices continued to print record highs after breaching the $2,700 figure amid uncertainty surrounding the US election and tensions in the Middle East. This weighed on US Treasury bond yields and the Greenback, which tumbled to a two-day low of 103.45 after hitting a two-month peak of 103.87. At the time of writing, the XAU/USD trades at $2,721, up by 1.09%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), rose 36.86 points, or 0.09%, to 43,275.91; the S&P 500 (SPX), rose 23.20 points, or 0.40%, to 5,864.67; and the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC), rose 115.94 points, or 0.63%, to 18,489.55. European stocks closed higher, helped by a resurgence in tech stocks at the conclusion of a choppy week, which included mixed earnings and a rate cut from the European Central Bank. The STOXX 600 logged its second weekly advance. The dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, fell 0.28% to 103.49, with the euro up 0.3% at $1.0864.

Expected Ranges

  • AUD/USD: 0.6600 - 0.6800 ▲
  • AUD/EUR: 0.6100 - 0.6300 ▲
  • GBP/AUD: 1.9350 - 1.9550 ▼
  • AUD/NZD: 1.0950 - 1.1050 ▼
  • AUD/CAD: 0.9150 - 0.9350 ▲

Written by

Brett Ottawa

OFXpert

Brett brings a wealth of experience, boasting more than 15 years in the foreign exchange market. He started his foreign exchange career with OFX more than a decade ago, as a private dealer catering to individual clients. He later transitioned to the corporate sector, assuming the position of Corporate Senior Relationship Manager. What truly excites Brett is the opportunity to engage with people, supporting their business growth and sharing in their successes.