Home Daily Commentaries USD dips following release of CPI data

USD dips following release of CPI data

Daily Currency Update

The US Dollar Index (DXY) dipped by around -0.70% so far today to the 104.31 level. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which is a broad measure of costs for goods and services, dipped 0.1% from May to June. This was the lowest level in more than three years and helped bolster the case for upcoming rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The CME FedWatch tool showed that the probability of the Fed cutting rates in September jumped to 69.5%.

Key Movers

The EUR/USD pair rallied to near 1.0900 so far today. The major currency pair strengthened after the US CPI June report came out with softer-than-expected data. This boosted market speculation for upcoming Fed rate cuts in the September meeting.

The GBP/USD pair gained traction in the American session on Wednesday and registered its highest daily close since March. The pair traded in positive territory above 1.290 so far today. Bank of England (BoE) Chief Economist Huw Pill noted that the BoE still have some work to do before the domestic persistent component of inflation is gone, further supporting the GBP.

The USD/CAD pair consolidated in a tight range above the 1.36 level so far today. The pair dipped to the 1.358 level following the release of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data this morning before regaining ground to the 1.3622 range. The Canadian dollar continued to be put under pressure amid growing speculation that the Bank of Canada (BoC) will deliver subsequent rate cuts. Deteriorating Canadian labor market conditions have boosted expectations of more rate cuts by the BoC.

Expected Ranges

  • EUR/USD: 1.0833 - 1.0902 ▲
  • GBP/USD: 1.2849 - 1.2948 ▲
  • AUD/USD: 0.6749 - 0.6800 ▲
  • USD/CAD: 1.3584 - 1.3639 ▼