Home Daily Commentaries Loonie ends the week down despite positive data

Loonie ends the week down despite positive data

Daily Currency Update

The Canadian dollar was down slightly this morning as the USD made gains against all the majors. However, data released this morning showed Canada’s economy outperforming expectations. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for the quarter surprised markets to the upside, showing 2.1% growth for the economy against an expected 1.6%. GDP measures the value of goods and services produced within a country during a specific time period. The Loonie did suffer slightly due to oil prices retreating this morning. Oil prices continued the roller coaster markets saw this week, starting the day down $2 a barrel. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) price is back to $74 a barrel after breaching $76 a barrel yesterday.

Key Movers

The US dollar gained slightly entering the Friday session as the euro and GBP both softened. The US Dollar Index (DXY) was up 0.2% this morning as the greenback strengthened against a basket of other major currencies. The basket is heavily weighted though to compare the USD to the euro, and as the EUR weakened off key data disappointments this morning, the DXY gained momentum. On the US data front, markets may see more pricing in of higher rate cuts in September as the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation data, released this morning, came in lower than expected. Consumer expenditures were up 2.6% last month, compared to an expected 2.7% bump. The PCE index measures the prices that people in the US pay for goods and services.

The euro lost ground against the USD this morning as data from the EU disappointed overnight. Core inflation across the EU came in at 2.8% as expected while employment in Germany came in with an addition of 2,000 jobs last month, short of the 16,000 that was expected for Europe’s biggest economy. French inflation was down but not as much as expected. Prices in the EU were expected to be up 1.8% year-over-year but came in at 1.9%.

Expected Ranges

  • EUR/CAD: 1.4909 - 1.4997 ▼
  • GBP/CAD: 1.7708 - 1.7793 ▼
  • AUD/CAD: 0.9107 - 0.9191 ▼
  • USD/CAD: 1.3465 - 1.3552 ▲